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Current Win Probability
Pistoiese 23.1%
Draw 31.5%
Pro Vercelli 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
30%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
23.3%
61.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Vercelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pistoiese - Pro Vercelli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Pistoiese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pro Vercelli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Pro Vercelli will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.