The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Sesto 22%
Draw 27%
Pistoiese 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.7%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
28.2%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Sesto - Pistoiese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
Pro Sesto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pistoiese is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Pistoiese is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pro Sesto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.