Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 30Date: 3 April 2026, Friday
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Pistoiese |
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Crema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.19 |
6.1 |
9.4 |
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 |
1.24 |
5.07 |
9.06 |
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1.26 |
4.91 |
10.17 |
 Watch |
 |
1.25 |
4.5 |
12 |
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 |
1.22 |
4.9 |
12.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.52) |
5.1 ↑
(3.78) |
10.71 ↑
(5.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pistoiese
73.7% | Draw
17.8% | Crema
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pistoiese - Crema Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Latini A. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Saporetti S. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 2, Recino G. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 2, Pinzauti L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 66', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 10).Pistoiese is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Crema has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Pistoiese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Pistoiese is the undisputed favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pistoiese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Pistoiese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pistoiese | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 | 18 |
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| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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