Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	1.96	3.37	3.49
	1.99	3.28	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.98)	3.28 ↓ (3.28)	3.43 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
45.9%

Draw
27.6%

Pistoiese
26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Desenzano Calvina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pistoiese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Desenzano Calvina - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 1 - 0, Barwuah E. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Pistoiese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )

Desenzano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pistoiese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	17:1	16	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Imolese - Desenzano Calvina	4:3 ✺
12.04.26	Desenzano Calvina - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Tropical Coriano - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Rovato Vertovese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.04.26	Pistoiese - Tropical Coriano	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pro Sesto - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Pistoiese - Crema	4:2 ✺
29.03.26	SantAngelo - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
25.03.26	Lentigione - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Pistoiese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2

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