Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Referee: Maccarini L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Giana Erminio		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.25
	2.05	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.46
	2.08	3.26	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.35
	2.02	3.22	3.31	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	3.21 ↑ (3.13)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
44.4%

Draw
28.4%

Pro Vercelli
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 19. Mora C. 60. Rovinelli E. 5. Ghezzi S. 11. Comelli S. 21. Muhameti E. 25. Zanchetta M. 26. Ballabio M. (C) 3. Nucifero T. 8. Magazzu L. 29. Samele L.	97. Livieri A. (G) 18. Piran L. 30. Moretti A. 3. Coccolo L. 25. Pagliari M. 5. Boufandar A. 14. Iotti I. (C) 8. Burruano A. 10. Rutigliano M. 9. Bertoli M. 11. Sow O.
Substitutes
12. Azzolari E. (G) 28. Di Bitonto C. 13. Golin M. 90. Leggio T. 27. Manzoni F. 14. Marotta M. 4. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 10. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 6. Saggionetto N. 23. Tornaghi P. 1. Zenti A. (G)	24. Andreotti R. (G) 28. Carosso A. 77. Del Favero M. (G) 6. el Bakkali Z. 7. Mallahi M. 23. Perotti C. 16. Ronchi N. 45. Satriano A. 32. Zacchera G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Boufandar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Mora C. ↓, Tornaghi P. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Tornaghi P. ⚽,
52', Comelli S. 🟨,
55', Iotti I. 🟨,
60', Muhameti E. ↓, Renda F. ↑,
60', Magazzu L. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Sow O. ⚽,
70', Tornaghi P. 🟨,
75', Pinto D. 🟨,
77', Nucifero T. ↓, Di Bitonto C. ↑,
77', Ghezzi S. ↓, Manzoni F. ↑,
78', Rutigliano M. ↓, Mallahi M. ↑,
78', Burruano A. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
84', Rovinelli E. 🟨,
85', Pagliari M. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
90+8', Ballabio M. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 3.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Giana Erminio holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Giana Erminio has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Giana Erminio against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pro Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Pro Vercelli - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Giana Erminio - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLLL
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.26	Trento - Pro Vercelli	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Treviso - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Pro Vercelli - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Carpi - Pro Vercelli	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0
19.10.25	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:0
11.01.25	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	3:0
Italian Serie C Group A
08.09.24	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:1
07.05.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	3:0
17.02.24	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:3

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