Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)


	Piteå		Boden

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.48	4.65	4.95
	1.47	4.3	5
	1.5	4.38	5.22	Watch
	1.53	4.75	4
	1.43	4.4	5.79
	1.48	4.65	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)	4.45 ↓ (5)	4.96 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
61.2%

Draw
20.4%

Boden
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

18.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

17.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piteå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Piteå - Boden Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Piteå will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Boden will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Piteå (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', Gustavsson F. 🟥,
21', 1 - 0, Lundback J. (Pen),
36', 2 - 0, Lundback J. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Brooks B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 4 - 0, Romulo Bosqueiro ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 1.

Piteå is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Piteå is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Piteå won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.06.25	Bergnäsets - Piteå	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Piteå - Boden City	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Kiruna - Piteå	1:1 ✺
13.05.25	Piteå - Skellefteå FF	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Piteå - Luleå	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWW
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
29.05.25	Boden - Kiruna	4:3 ✺
24.05.25	Skellefteå FF - Boden	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Boden - Luleå	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Boden - Boden City	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Bergnäsets - Boden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.05.25	Boden - Piteå	0:3
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.08.23	Piteå - Boden	1:1
21.06.23	Boden - Piteå	1:1
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
25.09.20	Boden - Piteå	0:0
15.06.18	Boden - Piteå	1:1
25.06.17	Piteå - Boden	5:4

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