Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Danderyd IP (Stocksund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Stocksund		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.90	2.45
	2.30	3.85	2.38
	2.25	4.69	2.39
	2.09	4.09	2.88	Watch
	2.20	4.60	2.35
	2.29	4.05	2.60	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.8)	4.2 ↑ (3.93)	2.51 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksund
41.4%

Draw
21.9%

Järfälla
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

22.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stocksund's form might have worsened.

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Järfälla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stocksund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Järfälla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stocksund - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strindlund V. (G) 8. Boto D. 10. Engstrom K. 2. Floric A. 4. Jonsson C. 6. Lager S. 13. Mougnol E. 7. Rauf Y. 5. Vogele M. 9. Wagberg N. (C) 11. Wennerlind L.	30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 27. Bangala D. 23. Danha C. F. 20. Drugge E. 17. Khalil A. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 11. Ogestad O. 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Badome S. 20. Bodvik E. 17. Hussein D. 3. Mihajlovic L. 19. Mumuni A. L. 31. Rhawi J. (G) 16. Sibeene J.	4. Aksoy Y. 19. Dahir K. 1. Eide B. (G) 7. Fox C. 12. Markovski D. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stocksund won 4.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Järfälla may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stocksund holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 26:9 (averaging 4.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stocksund against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Stocksund - Umeå	0:3 ✺
17.09.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Stocksund	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWL
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.09.26	Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.06.26	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6
Svenska Cupen
29.06.22	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:3
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
22.06.22	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6
09.04.22	Stocksund - Järfälla	2:1
08.09.21	Stocksund - Järfälla	2:3
04.08.21	Järfälla - Stocksund	2:7

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