Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.66
	4.60	3.60	1.61
	3.99	4.02	1.80
	4.67	4.08	1.64	Watch
	3.90	3.95	1.71
	4.28	3.91	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.62)	3.88 ↑ (3.7)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
21.7%

Draw
23.8%

Karlstad
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.5%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

23.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Piteå - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (C) 8. Berglund C. 16. Brooks B. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 18. Johnson J. 28. Jordan L. 14. Lundback J. 4. Oostra T. 19. Wikstrom I.	1. Karlsson M. (G) 10. Alvers O. 8. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 9. Carstrom J. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 26. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
1. Adell T. (G) 21. Bergstrom H. 11. Bonilla J. 25. Hoeve Q. 20. Lindgren A. 23. Lindgren L.	21. Gustafsson K. 17. Jatta N. 27. Kocys T. (G) 15. Maasland L. 12. Miguel W. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Alvers O. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
61', Carstrom J. ↓, Miguel W. ↑,
62', Jordan L. ↓, Bergstrom H. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Jamehdar S. ⚽,
69', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Maasland L. ↑,
69', Zurmati S. ↓, Gustafsson K. ↑,
86', Brooks B. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Gustafsson K. ⚽,
90+3', Bellman H. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 1.

Piteå has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Karlstad has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Karlstad for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Piteå has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:26 (averaging 1:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Piteå against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:11 goals (averaging 1:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Piteå	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Piteå - Karlberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLLW
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Karlstad - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Enköping - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.04.26	Karlstad - Piteå	2:1
04.08.24	Piteå - Karlstad	0:6
01.07.24	Karlstad - Piteå	6:0
03.09.23	Karlstad - Piteå	1:2
29.07.23	Piteå - Karlstad	1:2
03.09.22	Piteå - Karlstad	2:1
24.04.22	Karlstad - Piteå	3:1

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