Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Piteå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.30	3.50
	1.81	3.45	3.65
	1.96	3.53	3.57
	1.88	3.71	3.71	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.45
	1.94	3.56	3.67	Watch
	1.85	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	3.57 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
48.2%

Draw
26.2%

Piteå
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Gefle - Piteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 2. Larsson E. (C) 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 24. Persson K. 18. Spangberg M. 11. Vikgren L. 9. Zahirovic A. 77. Zulum S.	31. Eriksson F. (C) 8. Berglund C. 21. Bergstrom H. 16. Brooks B. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 18. Johnson J. 28. Jordan L. 14. Lundback J. 4. Oostra T.
Substitutes
7. Ali Batti V. 6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 3. Myrttinen K. 19. Sipic A. 20. Sugita Y.	1. Adell T. (G) 11. Bonilla J. 25. Hoeve Q. 20. Lindgren A. 23. Lindgren L. 2. Millbert H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mokede M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Lundback J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Vikgren L. ⚽,
62', Spangberg M. ↓, Sipic A. ↑,
64', Hoeve Q. 🟨,
68', Oostra T. 🟨,
72', Bergstrom H. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Lundback J. ⚽, Hoeve Q. (A),
85', 2 - 3, Bonilla J. ⚽,
87', Zahirovic A. ↓, Sugita Y. ↑,
87', Brooks B. ↓, Millbert H. ↑,
87', Persson K. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
90+2', Jordan L. 🟨,
90+3', Mokede M. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 3, Vikgren L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 14th in the Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Gefle carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gefle has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gefle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gefle	28	10	5	13	34:47	-13	35
14	Pitea	28	5	9	14	35:53	-18	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Enköping - Gefle	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Gefle - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Gefle - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Piteå - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Piteå	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.08.26	Piteå - Gefle	0:2
18.09.22	Piteå - Gefle	1:4
26.05.22	Gefle - Piteå	2:2
07.11.21	Gefle - Piteå	1:0
05.08.21	Piteå - Gefle	2:0

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