Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Saint Louis

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.54	3.65	5.2
	1.49	3.85	5.56
	1.56	3.8	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.88)	3.74 ↑ (3.27)	4.98 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
57.6%

Draw
24.2%

Saint Louis
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

18.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.

Saint Louis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint Louis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint Louis than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint Louis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Saint Louis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Saint Louis has a chance of playoffs (45%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pittsburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Saint Louis have a series of home games.

In this match Pittsburgh is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
19.08.20	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:2 ✺
15.08.20	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
08.08.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York Red Bulls 2	4:1 ✺
01.08.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Philadelphia Union II	4:0 ✺
26.07.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL
- Saint Louis FC
USL Championship
15.08.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	3:1 ✺
08.08.20	Saint Louis - Tulsa	0:2 ✺
05.08.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	Memphis 901 - Saint Louis	1:0 ✺
26.07.20	Saint Louis - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.10.19	Saint Louis - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1
20.04.19	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Saint Louis	0:0
19.08.17	Saint Louis - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2
12.04.17	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Saint Louis	1:2
06.06.15	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Saint Louis	1:1

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