Match Info

Date: 1 July 2022, Friday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.71	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.74
	4.1	3.55	1.69
	4.29	3.84	1.75
	4.25	3.74	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.86)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
22.4%

Draw
24.5%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.1%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.4%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (59.73%), has project points - 21, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, very small importance 7, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pittsburgh is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-34.

Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
25.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - New York Red Bulls 2	5:0 ✺
15.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
08.06.22	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0 ✺
02.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
27.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
25.06.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:5 ✺
18.06.22	Rio Grande Valley - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
11.06.22	Charleston Battery - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:0 ✺
04.06.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.09.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0
23.07.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:3
25.06.21	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1
28.05.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3
05.09.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3
08.08.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York Red Bulls 2	4:1
26.07.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1

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