Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Plasencia		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.66
	4.6	3.3	1.6
	4.4	3.15	1.65
	4.41	3.25	1.73
	5.2	3.28	1.7
	5	3.5	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.57)	3.31 ↑ (2.88)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plasencia
19.1%

Draw
27%

Azuaga
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

30.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

28.6%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plasencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plasencia's form might have worsened.

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azuaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Plasencia - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs)).

Plasencia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Azuaga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Plasencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Azuaga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Plasencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.01.23	Jerez - Plasencia	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Llerenense - Plasencia	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Plasencia - Fuente de Cantos	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Miajadas - Plasencia	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Plasencia - Olivenza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.01.23	Azuaga - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Olivenza - Azuaga	0:4 ✺
10.12.22	Azuaga - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Montehermoso - Azuaga	2:4 ✺
27.11.22	Azuaga - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.09.22	Azuaga - Plasencia	0:0
06.03.22	Azuaga - Plasencia	1:1
02.04.21	Azuaga - Plasencia	2:2

Plasencia - Azuaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide