Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Moralo |
|
Arroyo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.75 |
5 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.8 |
5 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.88 |
5.44 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.78 |
5.26 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.8 |
5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.54) |
3.8 ↓
(3.8) |
5.14 ↓
(5.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moralo
58.5% | Draw
23.9% | Arroyo
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moralo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arroyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Moralo - Arroyo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Silva E. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Barranco F. ⚽,
- 23', 3 - 0, Smekhunov A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 76', 4 - 0, Parada J. ⚽,
- 86', 5 - 0, Kinateder A. ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Last 5 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3. Recent matches Moralo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Arroyo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). In this match Moralo is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Moralo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.2:0.9). Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 2:0.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 07.12.24 | Arroyo - Moralo | 2:3 | | 14.01.24 | Arroyo - Moralo | 2:1 | | 11.03.23 | Moralo - Arroyo | 1:1 | | 06.11.22 | Arroyo - Moralo | 0:4 | | 30.04.22 | Moralo - Arroyo | 3:0 | | 17.04.22 | Arroyo - Moralo | 1:0 | | 12.12.21 | Moralo - Arroyo | 0:0 |
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