Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)


	Platense		Racing

	1	X	2
	4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.65	3.05	2.15	Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.2
	3.81	3.1	2.23
	3.6	3.2	2.11
	3.55	3.05	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.74)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)	2.17 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
25.7%

Draw
30.7%

Racing
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Platense - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Racing will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Suso G. 18. Marcich S. 14. Picco L. 10. Ocampo A. 5. Villalba C. 21. Gomez I. 11. Ferreyra L. 77. Martinez R.	21. Arias G. (C) 6. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 34. Mura F. 36. Zuculini B. 32. Almendra A. E. 27. Rojas G. 22. Rodriguez B. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 20. Hachen G. 70. Marinelli A. 43. Montenegro L. S. 7. Obando A. 9. Pellegrino M. 2. Pignani J. 27. Quiroga A. 23. Rivero B. 19. Russo F. 24. Salomon O. 40. Valdivia G.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 17. Carbonero J. 47. Galvan I. 20. German Conti 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 19. Miranda L. 4. Pillud I. . 8. Quintero J. 38. Rubio T. 30. Sigali L. 28. Solari S.
Coaches
Grazzini S.	Costas G.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Platense won 3.

Recent matches Platense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Juarez F. (Injury) Lozano R. (Injury) Quiroga M. (Injury) Rius C. (Injury) Zeineddin N. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Meaurio N. (Injury) Sigali L. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Platense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Platense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.24	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	3:1 ✺
19.02.24	Unión Santa Fe - Platense	0:0 ✺
15.02.24	Platense - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Lanús - Platense	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Platense - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Independiente - Racing	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Racing - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:4 ✺
09.02.24	Racing - San Lorenzo	4:1 ✺
05.02.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.10.23	Racing - Platense	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.05.23	Platense - Racing	3:0
18.09.22	Platense - Racing	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.22	Platense - Racing	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.10.21	Racing - Platense	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.03.21	Platense - Racing	0:2

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