Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.17
	3.34	3.21	2.24	Watch
	3.61	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.35	3.05	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.17 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
26.7%

Draw
30%

Racing
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

30.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	40%	46.7%

Newells Old Boys - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Newells Old Boys (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Racing (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 4. Montero A. 97. Salcedo S. 15. Victor Cuesta 3. Sosa L. 26. Luciano M. 13. Guch F. 27. Regiardo L. 17. Acuna V. 32. Gonzalez C. 21. Herrera L.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 34. Mura F. 27. Rojas G. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 36. Zuculini B. (C) 8. Forneris A. 28. Solari S. 26. Sanchez R. 7. Vergara D. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
53. Amadio J. 5. Banega E. 38. Chiaverano G. 9. Garcia J. 33. Hoyos L. (G) 37. Lollo L. 51. Mereles A. 34. Montenegro L. S. 6. Mosquera J. 29. Noguera F. 47. Russo J. 52. Scarpeccio F.	21. Arias G. (G) 16. Barrios M. 23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 41. Degregorio R. M. 24. Fernandez A. 1. Gomez F. (G) 30. Gonzalez D. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 35. Quiros S. 37. Reyna G.
Coaches
Bernardi L.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Mura F. 🟨,
24', Zuculini B. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
27', Regiardo L. 🟨,
45+2', Forneris A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', Luciano M. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
71', Sanchez R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
71', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
76', Vergara D. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
79', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
82', Montero A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
82', Guch F. ↓, Banega E. ↑,
90', Regiardo L. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
90', Gonzalez C. ↓, Montenegro L. S. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Conechny T. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1.

Newells Old Boys is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newells Old Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Racing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:1 ✺
10.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Central Córdoba - Racing	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.10.25	Racing - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Flamengo - Racing	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.25	Racing - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Racing - Newells Old Boys	1:0
16.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:4
20.09.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:1
16.07.22	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.22	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:0

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