Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.38	2.92	3.3	Watch
	2.51	2.98	3.38
	2.43	2.98	3.27	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.43	2.88	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.68)	2.9 ↓ (2.98)	3.23 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
38.5%

Draw
32.4%

Racing
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

33.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Independiente - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Arias S. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 23. Marcone I. 7. Montiel S. 8. Millan L. 40. Malcorra I. 43. Valdez F. 9. Avalos G.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 3. Di Cesare M. 6. Rojo M. 2. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez B. 13. Sosa S. (C) 28. Solari S. 24. Fernandez A. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 20. Bodnar S. 10. Cabral L. 13. Fedorco J. 6. Freire N. 29. Godoy L. 28. Gutierrez M. 11. Mancuello F. 16. Perez Curci M. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 34. Tempone F. 3. Valenzuela M.	23. Colombo N. 8. Forneris A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pardo F. 14. Pizarro D. 19. Rodriguez I. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Sosa S. 🟨,
39', Valdez S. 🟨,
40', Adrian Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Rojo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Montiel S. 🟨,
58', Millan L. ↓, Perez Curci M. ↑,
73', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
80', Valdez F. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Montiel S. (A),
83', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
83', Fernandez A. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
86', Montiel S. ↓, Fedorco J. ↑,
89', Garcia A. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
90+4', Miljevic M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.

Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Copa Argentina
27.03.26	Independiente - Atenas Río Cuarto	4:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	4:4 ✺
28.02.26	Independiente - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Argentina
28.03.26	Racing - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Belgrano - Racing	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Racing - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.25	Racing - Independiente	0:0
16.03.25	Independiente - Racing	1:1
25.08.24	Racing - Independiente	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Independiente - Racing	0:1
30.09.23	Racing - Independiente	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Independiente - Racing	1:1
10.07.22	Racing - Independiente	1:0

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