Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
South-america	ViX Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.38	3	3.2	Watch
	2.41	3.15	3.31
	2.41	2.95	3.29	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.37	2.99	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.31)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
39.7%

Draw
31.1%

Racing
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 21. Piovi L. 32. Amondarain M. 11. Farias F. 8. Gabriel Neves 18. Cetre E. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 3. Di Cesare M. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 8. Forneris A. 13. Sosa S. (C) 24. Fernandez A. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez 11. Zaracho M.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 22. Castro A. 39. Cornejo L. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 36. Pereyra J. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V. 7. Sosa J.	23. Colombo N. 2. Garcia A. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pardo F. 58. Perez T. 19. Rodriguez I. 34. Rubio T. 28. Solari S. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Medina A.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Forneris A. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
38', Piovi L. 🟨,
40', Zaracho M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandez A. 🟨,
56', Gabriel Neves ↓, Castro A. ↑,
72', Zuculini B. 🟨,
78', Fernandez A. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
79', Zaracho M. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
79', Farias F. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
79', Carrillo G. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
84', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
90+1', Rojo M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
90+2', Conechny T. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
90+2', Palacios T. 🟨,
90+2', Piovi L. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
90+3', Mancuso E. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
90+5', Rojas G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4.

Estudiantes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estudiantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Burgos J. (Inactive) Gaich A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Cannavo E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Racing	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Caracas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Aldosivi - Racing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties
26.07.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
03.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	2:0
04.12.24	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	4:5
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.02.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0
03.09.23	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0

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