Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 13

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Platges de Calvià		Felanitx

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	5.15
	1.68	3.55	4.93
	1.63	3.57	5.18	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.7	3.5	5.14
	1.62	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	3.51 ↓ (4)	5.03 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platges de Calvià
55.8%

Draw
26.1%

Felanitx
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platges de Calvià's form might have worsened.

Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felanitx's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platges de Calvià, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felanitx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Platges de Calvià - Felanitx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Platges de Calvià is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.25	Peña Deportiva - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Rotlet Molinar - Platges de Calvià	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWW
- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.11.25	Felanitx - Formentera	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Inter Ibiza - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Felanitx - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Cardassar - Felanitx	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Felanitx - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.04.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	3:1
06.12.24	Felanitx - Platges de Calvià	2:1
16.12.23	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	3:0
29.01.22	Felanitx - Platges de Calvià	1:3
21.12.19	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	2:0
05.01.19	Felanitx - Platges de Calvià	0:1
18.08.18	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	2:2

Platges de Calvià - Felanitx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide