Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Platges de Calvià |
|
Mercadal |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.1 |
3.65 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.07 |
3.82 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.12 |
3.89 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
3 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.06 |
3.87 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.84) |
3.08 ↓
(3.3) |
3.81 ↓
(3.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Platges de Calvià
46.6% | Draw
29.5% | Mercadal
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Platges de Calvià - Mercadal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 3.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Platges de Calvià is the team to beat.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 23.03.25 | Platges de Calvià - Mercadal | 1:0 | | 10.11.24 | Mercadal - Platges de Calvià | 1:1 | | 07.01.24 | Mercadal - Platges de Calvià | 0:1 | | 19.03.23 | Platges de Calvià - Mercadal | 1:0 | | 19.11.22 | Mercadal - Platges de Calvià | 1:1 | | 16.01.22 | Mercadal - Platges de Calvià | 0:1 | | 18.09.21 | Platges de Calvià - Mercadal | 0:2 |
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