Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday
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Platges de Calvià |
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Peña Deportiva |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.78 |
3.1 |
2.35 |
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2.93 |
3.05 |
2.44 |
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2.91 |
3.03 |
2.42 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
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2.93 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(3.37) |
3.14 ↑
(3.12) |
2.36 ↑
(2.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Platges de Calvià
31.9% | Draw
29.2% | Peña Deportiva
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platges de Calvià's performance.Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platges de Calvià that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Platges de Calvià - Peña Deportiva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Mubarak A. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Fraile M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 62', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Peña Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Peña Deportiva will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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