Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Portmany		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	3.35	3	2.08
	3.52	2.81	2.25
	3.43	2.91	2.21
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.03	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmany
27.7%

Draw
30.5%

Platges de Calvià
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Portmany - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 2.

Portmany has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Platges de Calvià is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Platges de Calvià may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Platges de Calvià will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portmany won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Platges de Calvia	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Portmany
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.03.26	Formentera - Portmany	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Portmany - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Portmany - Inter Ibiza	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Llosetense - Portmany	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Portmany - Cardassar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLW
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Rotlet Molinar	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Formentera	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Son Cladera - Platges de Calvià	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	1:2
29.09.24	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	2:2
03.03.24	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	1:0
15.10.23	Portmany - Platges de Calvià	2:1
23.04.23	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	2:0
08.01.23	Portmany - Platges de Calvià	0:1 ET
23.03.22	Portmany - Platges de Calvià	0:0

Portmany - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide