Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Plauen		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	3	3.35	2.24
	2.85	3.63	2.25
	3.12	3.47	2.09
	2.85	3.24	2.28
	3	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plauen
31.2%

Draw
27.1%

Luckenwalde
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+3%)

Plauen - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kuhn P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, Gollnack S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Plauen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Luckenwalde is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luckenwalde will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Plauen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.3:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Plauen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.04.25	Plauen - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Greifswald - Plauen	3:0 ✺
02.04.25	Plauen - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Plauen - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Plauen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTLL
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.04.25	Luckenwalde - Zwickau	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chemnitzer - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Luckenwalde - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Luckenwalde - Hertha Berlin II	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
27.10.24	Luckenwalde - Plauen	0:1
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
26.10.19	Plauen - Luckenwalde	2:4
28.04.19	Plauen - Luckenwalde	2:4
19.10.18	Luckenwalde - Plauen	2:0

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