The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plaza Amador 57.7%
Draw 24.2%
UMECIT 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
27%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
25.8%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Amador's performance.
UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Plaza Amador - UMECIT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Castaneda S. (G) 49. Julio A. 50. Ramos A. 12. Taivez J. 18. Rodriguez J. 15. Murillo Y. 14. Walters K. 5. Cordoba F. 17. Valencia A. 27. Rios H. 25. Walder K.
1. Almengor D. (G) 3. Delgado J. 10. Gomez E. 23. Chanis E. 62. Casazola M. 6. Fuentes J. 21. Almanza O. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 7. Peralta H. 11. Rodriguez E. 48. Moran C.
Substitutes
23. Allen M. (G) 10. Buitrago R. 41. Cerezo Y. 6. Lara J. 19. Quintero A. 30. Ryce A. 4. Sanchez J. 7. Sanchez J. 37. Tovares E.
26. Araya J. 77. Diaz A. 17. Edwards A. 14. Ford R. 27. Garcia A. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 9. Murillo J. 92. Oliveira D. 22. Palmezano A. 19. Saldana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Fuentes J. 🟨,
30', Ramos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Valencia A. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
58', Moran C. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
59', Walder K. ↓, Quintero A. ↑,
59', Ramos A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Rios H. ⚽,
70', Rodriguez E. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
70', Almanza O. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
79', Murillo Y. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Peralta H. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
79', Casazola M. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', Murillo J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Quintero A. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Lara J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 2.
Plaza Amador is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
UMECIT has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Plaza Amador is the team to beat.
We predict that Plaza Amador will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Amador won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).