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Current Win Probability
Plaza Amador 50.2%
Draw 28.1%
Alianza Panama 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
28%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
27.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Amador's performance.
Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Panama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Amador that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Panama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Castaneda S. (G) 3. Cordoba O. 31. Davis E. 16. Yearwood R. 20. Murillo J. 14. Knight A. 21. Murillo D. 43. Taivez J. 19. Quintero A. (C) 22. Walters K. 27. Rios H.
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 3. Ortega Y. 31. Machado A. 13. Mendoza A. 16. Mitre R. 17. Asprilla J. 26. Garces J. 5. Campos O. 7. Guardia H. 28. Alvarado J. 77. Chiari G.
Substitutes
23. Allen M. (G) 10. Buitrago R. 5. Cordoba F. 7. Gondola F. 6. Lara J. 29. Lopez O. 15. Murillo Y. 48. Pacheco J. 11. Phillips R. 4. Sanchez J.
15. Galvez A. 2. Landazuri F. 6. Marengo J. 30. Melgar K. (G) 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 22. Rodriguez M. 11. Spencer D. 29. Stewart A. 19. Vargas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Chiari G. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Yearwood R. ⚽,
44', Campos O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garces J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
47', Campos O. 🟨,
47', Campos O. 🟥,
58', Cordoba O. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Murillo D. ⚽,
74', Murillo D. 🟨,
75', Mitre R. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
81', Garces J. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
81', Chiari G. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
82', Guardia H. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
82', Quintero A. ↓, Gondola F. ↑,
82', Murillo J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
82', Davis E. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
82', Murillo D. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Ortega Y. ⚽,
90+6', Ortega Y. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
96', Walters K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
105', 3 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
115', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.
In this match, Plaza Amador is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Amador won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Alianza Panama - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Panama
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Castaneda S. (G) 
Gonzalez J. (G) 
Landazuri F. 
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