Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 8

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Plus Ultra		Minera

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.68
	4.1	3.76	1.68
	4.65	3.58	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.28)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plus Ultra
20.9%

Draw
25.2%

Minera
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.6%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

26.8%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plus Ultra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Minera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plus Ultra than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Plus Ultra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Minera is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Minera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Minera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plus Ultra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Plus Ultra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.10.23	Balsicas Atlético - Plus Ultra	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Plus Ultra - Muleño	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Plus Ultra	5:1 ✺
01.10.23	Plus Ultra - Unión Molinense	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Plus Ultra - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTL
- CD Minera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.10.23	Minera - Bullense	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alcantarilla - Minera	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Minera - Cieza	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	El Palmar - Minera	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Minera - Montecasillas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
24.11.19	Minera - Plus Ultra	2:0

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