Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Cieza		Minera

	1	X	2
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.78	3.1	4.75
	1.71	2.92	4.78
	1.73	3.22	4.83
	1.78	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.41)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	4.77 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cieza
51.7%

Draw
29.4%

Minera
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cieza's performance.

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cieza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Ciudad de Cieza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Minera in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Minera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Cieza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Cieza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Balsicas Atlético - Cieza	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Cieza - Muleño	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Cieza	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cieza - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Cieza - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWW
- CD Minera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.02.24	Minera - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Montecasillas - Minera	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Minera - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Racing Murcia - Minera	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Minera - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.10.23	Minera - Cieza	4:0
15.01.23	Cieza - Minera	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.12.17	Cieza - Minera	1:1

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