Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Plymouth Parkway		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.18
	2.97	3.33	2.23
	2.91	3.62	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.28	2.19
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
31.5%

Draw
27.1%

Berkhamsted
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

24.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Plymouth Parkway - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Watts-Barciela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Garside C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Plymouth Parkway has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Berkhamsted is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Plymouth Parkway won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27:14	13	26
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16:18	-2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Uxbridge - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0 ✺
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLLL
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Berkhamsted - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sholing - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Berkhamsted - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hungerford Town - Berkhamsted	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Berkhamsted - Plymouth Parkway	2:2

Plymouth Parkway - Berkhamsted