Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Berkhamsted		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.45	3.4
	1.96	3.43	3.51
	1.94	3.7	3.53	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.91	3.44	3.49
	1.96	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
47.1%

Draw
26.6%

Yate Town
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Yate Town aligns with the current prediction.

Berkhamsted - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Ball D. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Harding M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 15).

Berkhamsted is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berkhamsted could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berkhamsted won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Berkhamsted	13	5	2	6	16:18	-2	17
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16:25	-9	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Sholing - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Berkhamsted - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hungerford Town - Berkhamsted	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Berkhamsted - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWL
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Yate Town - Uxbridge	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Sholing - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Evesham United - Yate Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0

Berkhamsted - Yate Town