Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Plymouth Parkway		Didcot Town

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	4.8
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.49	5.17	4.76
	1.5	5.17	4.77
	1.4	4.75	5
	1.45	4.25	5.83
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.82)	4.67 ↑ (3.75)	5.02 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
62.3%

Draw
19.5%

Didcot Town
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

20.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Didcot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Didcot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Didcot Town than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Didcot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Plymouth Parkway - Didcot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Plymouth Parkway will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Didcot will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth Parkway: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Purrington T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
77', 2 - 1, Thomson R. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Plymouth Parkway is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Didcot has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Didcot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plymouth Parkway have a series of guest games.

In this match Plymouth Parkway is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth Parkway won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
19.03.24	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Didcot Town
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Didcot Town - Gosport Borough	0:4 ✺
16.03.24	Walton & Hersham - Didcot Town	4:2 ✺
02.03.24	Didcot Town - Totton	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salisbury - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Didcot Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
06.09.22	Plymouth Parkway - Didcot Town	3:2

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