Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Totton		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	7.75
	1.26	6.18	8.24
	1.27	5.89	9.07
	1.22	5.7	9.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)	5.82 ↑ (4.76)	8.68 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
73.6%

Draw
15.8%

Plymouth Parkway
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Totton's performance.

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Totton - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Rendell S. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Magri S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Totton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Totton is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Totton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Totton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Totton - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Merthyr Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Walton & Hersham - Totton	3:2 ✺
28.12.24	Totton - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTLT
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
21.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Marlow - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Bracknell Town	3:3 ✺
11.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	1:2
22.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	0:3
19.03.24	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:0
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:1

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