Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.5
	1.89	3.85	3.2
	1.99	4.15	3.05
	1.98	4.15	3.14
	1.91	3.8	3.2
	1.89	3.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.58)	3.93 ↓ (4.18)	3.22 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
48.2%

Draw
23.3%

Plymouth Parkway
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

21.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Supermarine's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Parkway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Supermarine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Hall C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Plymouth Parkway have a series of home games.

In this match Swindon Supermarine is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Chertsey Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
02.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLL
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Marlow	5:0 ✺
02.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
29.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Chichester City	0:4 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	4:1
09.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
05.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
11.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:1

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