Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Poole Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.15
	1.51	4.37	5.12
	1.52	4.55	5.26	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5
	1.47	4.2	5.44
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.26 ↓ (4.64)	5.16 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
61%

Draw
21.3%

Hungerford Town
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Poole Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Slade H. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Bowdery C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 0.

Poole has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hungerford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hungerford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Poole is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Poole won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTW
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
03.02.26	Yate Town - Hungerford Town	6:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Hungerford Town - Farnham Town	2:7 ✺
17.01.26	Wimborne Town - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hungerford Town - Berkhamsted	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.09.25	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	0:0
25.02.25	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	1:1
16.11.24	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	0:0
26.03.24	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	1:2
24.10.23	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	2:1
English National League South
02.04.18	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	4:0
28.08.17	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	1:2

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