Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.7	3
	1.92	3.8	3.15
	1.93	3.97	3.16
	1.97	3.98	3.26
	1.93	3.74	3.19
	1.92	3.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)	3.83 ↑ (3.66)	3.15 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
47.2%

Draw
23.8%

Marlow
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

22.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Marlow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marlow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Marlow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, White S. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Watts-Barciela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 3 - 0, Jones D. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Beardmore M. ⚽,
88', 5 - 0, Jones D. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Plymouth Parkway is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marlow is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marlow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plymouth Parkway will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
29.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Chichester City	0:4 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Chertsey Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLLW
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Marlow - Totton	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Gosport Borough - Marlow	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Merthyr Town - Marlow	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Marlow - Chertsey Town	0:5 ✺
12.10.24	Marlow - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLLT

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