The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Parkway 40.9%
Draw 26.3%
Wimborne Town 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.2%
25.7%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
26.2%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.
Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wimborne Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Plymouth Parkway - Wimborne Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Smith J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 1, Down T. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Semi - finals and 9th).
Plymouth Parkway has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wimborne is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth Parkway has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plymouth Parkway against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Plymouth Parkway
13
8
2
3
27:14
13
26
9
Wimborne
12
5
4
3
20:9
11
19
Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now
Plymouth Parkway: 12.17% Wimborne: 3.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Wimborne Town - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.