Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Pniówek Pawłowice		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	2.95
	2.04	3.6	3.2	Watch
	1.9	4	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	3.7 ↓ (3.95)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pniówek Pawłowice
45.8%

Draw
24.5%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

22%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pniówek Pawłowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pniówek Pawłowice than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pniówek Pawłowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Bedzieszak K. (Pen),
12', 1 - 1, Bak M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pniówek Pawłowice won 2.

Pniówek Pawłowice is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pniówek Pawłowice will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Pniówek Pawłowice won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Pniówek Pawłowice won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Pniówek Pawłowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.04.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Starowice Dolne - Pniówek Pawłowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTT
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
27.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Polkowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Kluczbork	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
07.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:1
22.04.23	Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	5:2
17.09.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	2:2
16.04.22	Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:1
08.09.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0
09.05.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	2:2
03.10.20	Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:3

Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide