Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - ROUND 26

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Goce Delčev (Prilep)


	Pobeda		Shkupi

	1	X	2
	13.5	5.75	1.18
	9.53	10.32	1.12
	17	6	1.12
	14	9	1.11	Watch
	17	6.8	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.21 ↑ (7.9)	7.57 ↑ (4.68)	1.12 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda
6.4%

Draw
12.1%

Shkupi
81.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

19.5%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

20%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pobeda's form might have worsened.

Shkupi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shkupi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shkupi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 0.

Pobeda has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shkupi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Shkupi is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Pobeda won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Pobeda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pobeda
North Macedonian 1 MFL
02.04.23	Shkendija Tetovo - Pobeda	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Pobeda - Sileks	1:5 ✺
12.03.23	Bregalnica Štip - Pobeda	4:0 ✺
08.03.23	AP Brera Strumica - Pobeda	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Pobeda - Sileks	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Shkupi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
02.04.23	Shkupi - Skopje	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Shkupi - Rabotnički	3:1 ✺
08.03.23	Struga - Shkupi	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Shkupi - AP Brera Strumica	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.01.23	Shkupi - Pobeda	4:2
North Macedonian 1 MFL
27.11.22	Pobeda - Shkupi	0:6
31.08.22	Shkupi - Pobeda	1:1
20.04.19	Pobeda - Shkupi	0:3
24.02.19	Shkupi - Pobeda	3:0
28.10.18	Pobeda - Shkupi	2:0
19.08.18	Shkupi - Pobeda	0:0

Pobeda - Shkupi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide