The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shkupi 17.5%
Draw 22.4%
AP Brera Strumica 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
25%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
22.3%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkupi's form might have worsened.
AP Brera Strumica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AP Brera Strumica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkupi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shkupi - AP Brera Strumica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sefer M. (G) 21. Adili D. 6. Bajrami A. 17. Cvetkov J. 7. Ferati S. 19. Kadri E. 11. Mehmed A. 23. Mustafa B. 16. Sadiku L. 89. Shuku E. (C) 14. Ziberi A.
1. Vrgov S. (G) 32. Antovski F. (C) 33. Arizankoski A. 20. Ivanovski Z. 21. Lukovic L. 88. Makic E. 22. Mihailov F. 6. Naumcheski S. 9. Ndzengue F. 8. Todorov M. 91. Velkov B.
Substitutes
97. Akiku E. 34. Destani A. 2. Enuz V. 22. Fisnik I. 99. Grote M. (G) 18. Murati N. 4. Osmani A. 33. Ristov M.
77. Drame H. 28. Hassan W. 82. Iloski D. (G) 26. Ristovski D. 29. Shirikj I. 24. Stojilevski M. 23. Trawally F. 7. Velickovski N. 3. Velkov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 8 in the zone 1. MFL (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 2.
Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
Shkupi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brera Strumica has had a series of home games.
In this match, Brera Strumica is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shkupi won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Shkupi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
Watch
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Sefer M. (G) 
Ferati S. 
Sadiku L. 
Lukovic L. 
Makic E. 
Ndzengue F. 
Grote M. (G) 
Murati N. 
Drame H. 
Hassan W. 
Trawally F. 
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