Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Astrakhan		Zarya

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.25	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.24)	4.25 ↑ (3.4)	4.71 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
59.4%

Draw
21.4%

Zarya
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astrakhan's performance.

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zarya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zarya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Astrakhan - Zarya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Malysh M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Tsindrik S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Romanov R. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 13)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Astrakhan could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30
12	Astrakhan	27	6	7	14	28:42	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Rostov 2 - Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Astrakhan - FC Sevastopol	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dinskaya - Astrakhan	1:4 ✺
06.06.26	Astrakhan - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Chayka 2 - Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLW
- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Spartak Nalchik - Zarya	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zarya - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Zarya	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Astrakhan - Zarya