Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Neftyanik Izberbash		Zarya

	1	X	2
	2.86	3.46	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.46)	3.46 ↑ (3.34)	2.16 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Izberbash
31.7%

Draw
26.2%

Zarya
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Zarya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zarya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftyanik Izberbash, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zarya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neftyanik Izberbash - Zarya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Gamzatov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', (Penalty Awarded),
66', 1 - 1, Agapov M. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Gamzatov M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neftyanik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lugansk	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30
12	Izberbash	25	7	2	16	21:62	-41	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.07.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Chayka 2	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Kyzyltash - Neftyanik Izberbash	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Rostov 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 LLWWL
- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.07.26	Astrakhan - Zarya	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Spartak Nalchik - Zarya	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zarya - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Zarya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
30.05.26	Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0

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