Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.62
	2.82	3.2	2.62
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.69	3.31	2.46	Watch
	2.59	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

GKS Tychy
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzepisz K. (G) 77. Tomasik P. 89. Mikolajewski D. (C) 5. Senic M. 55. Willman M. 23. Misztal M. 17. Malachowski A. 53. Martinaga M. 10. Banaszewski M. 7. Bida B. 11. Ilicic M.	1. Kikolski M. (G) 6. Nedic N. (C) 33. Teclaw J. 4. Dijakovic M. 24. Polap D. 25. Zytek W. 26. Bieronski J. 21. Machowski K. 9. Rumin D. 77. Mikita P. 18. Spiaczka B.
Substitutes
6. Hlavica J. 3. Jodlowiec T. 32. Kisiel J. 27. Kolenc J. 95. Procek P. (G) 24. Sitek M. 79. Stempniewicz M. 30. Zajac R. 2. Ziolkowski M.	17. Blachewicz M. 16. Budnicki J. 22. Ertlthaler J. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 10. Mystkowski P. 11. Skibicki K. 19. Stangret M. 8. Szpakowski M. 20. Wojtuszek N.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Banasik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Spiaczka B. ⚽, Zytek W. (A),
36', Zytek W. 🟨,
44', Teclaw J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Martinaga M. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Bieronski J. ⚽, Rumin D. (A),
56', Nedic N. 🟨,
64', Willman M. ↓, Stempniewicz M. ↑,
64', Misztal M. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
64', Malachowski A. ↓, Kolenc J. ↑,
65', Bida B. ↓, Sitek M. ↑,
72', Spiaczka B. ↓, Ertlthaler J. ↑,
76', Banaszewski M. ↓, Kisiel J. ↑,
78', Zytek W. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
79', Machowski K. ↓, Budnicki J. ↑,
90', Polap D. 🟨,
90', Polap D. ↓, Szpakowski M. ↑,
90', Rumin D. ↓, Mystkowski P. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
19.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	GKS Katowice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
20.04.24	GKS Tychy - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
14.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	GKS Tychy - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Tychy	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.10.23	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0
25.02.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	1:0
07.08.22	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4
27.02.22	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0
17.08.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	0:0
21.06.20	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
Club Friendly
01.02.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	1:0

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