Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)


	Motor Lublin		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.88
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.3	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.31	3.4	3.16
	2.31	3.32	3.16
	2.2	3.3	2.88
	2.27	3.28	3	Watch
	2.24	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.23)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
40.7%

Draw
28.1%

GKS Tychy
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 21. Rudol S. 47. Palacz K. 68. Wolski B. 55. Gasior M. 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 90. Mraz S. 19. Welniak K. 26. Krol M.	1. Kikolski M. (G) 16. Budnicki J. 20. Wojtuszek N. 6. Nedic N. (C) 21. Machowski K. 24. Polap D. 8. Szpakowski M. 4. Dijakovic M. 22. Ertlthaler J. 9. Rumin D. 18. Spiaczka B.
Substitutes
53. Budzilek L. (G) 10. Krol R. 74. Kruk K. 24. Luberecki F. 7. Rybicki M. 37. Scalet M. 99. Spiewak K. 17. Wojcik F. 22. Wojtkowski K.	26. Bieronski J. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 5. Kurtaran T. 77. Mikita P. 10. Mystkowski P. 23. Radecki M. 11. Skibicki K. 33. Teclaw J. 25. Zytek W.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Banasik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Rudol S. ⚽, Najemski A. (A),
33', Polap D. ↓, Teclaw J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Szpakowski M. ↓, Zytek W. ↑,
46', Rumin D. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
51', Ceglarz P. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Radecki M. ⚽, Spiaczka B. (A),
62', Stolarski P. 🟨,
63', Gasior M. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
63', Mraz S. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
66', Radecki M. 🟨,
71', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Mystkowski P. ↑,
75', Welniak K. ↓, Wojtkowski K. ↑,
77', Budnicki J. 🟨,
81', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Bieronski J. ↑,
82', Krol M. ↓, Rybicki M. ↑,
83', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
86', Machowski K. 🟨,
89', Wojcik F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Motor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GKS Tychy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Motor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
16.03.24	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWW
- GKS Tychy
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Tychy	5:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
16.03.24	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	GKS Tychy - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	Wisła Kraków - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.09.23	GKS Tychy - Motor Lublin	2:0

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