Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 1

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.78	3.5	4
	1.83	3.5	4.01
	1.79	3.58	3.98	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.81	3.45	3.94	Watch
	1.82	3.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.9 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
50.8%

Draw
25.8%

Olimpia Elbląg
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Users Predictions: Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Forenc K. (G) 4. Biernat M. 3. Dziwniel D. (C) 77. Florek B. 6. Kizyma M. 27. Kolenc J. 8. Mrsic M. 28. Osyra K. 9. Tomczyk P. 55. Willman M. 11. Ziolkowski M.	27. Witan A. (G) 21. Boguslawski L. 17. Fadecki W. 6. Jasinski M. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 9. Kuzimski M. 4. Laszak K. 24. Mruk B. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 20. Tiahlo O.
Substitutes
18. Bieronski B. . Czajkowski P. 25. Gach K. 20. Goluch S. 21. Majsterek J. 23. Misztal M. 29. Ronnberg L. 43. Wieczorek K. (G) 30. Zajac R.	12. Czaplinski D. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 19. Kozera D. 10. Senkevich Y. 14. Szczudlinski K. 25. Tobojka M. 1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 30. Wierzba D. 28. Yatsenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Boguslawski L. 🟨,
37', Biernat M. 🟨,
38', Willman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Kizyma M. 🟨,
57', Mrsic M. ↓, Misztal M. ↑,
57', Ziolkowski M. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
62', Laszak K. ↓, Tobojka M. ↑,
69', Tomczyk P. ↓, Goluch S. ↑,
69', Florek B. ↓, Bieronski B. ↑,
72', Tobojka M. 🟨,
73', Kizyma M. ↓, Czajkowski P. ↑,
73', Jasinski M. ↓, Kozera D. ↑,
84', Szalecki D. ↓, Senkevich Y. ↑,
84', Kuzimski M. ↓, Wierzba D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elbląg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Podbeskidzie is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - MŠK Fomat Martin	6:0 ✺
10.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Karviná	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zlín	2:4 ✺
28.06.24	Opava - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Motor Lublin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Club Friendly
14.07.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.05.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTTLL

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