Match Info

Division 2 - Round 26

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.9
	2.9	3.05	2.36
	3	3.08	2.46	Watch
	3.9	2.9	1.91
	2.9	2.99	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.72)	3.01 ↓ (3.21)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
28.5%

Draw
30.4%

Olimpia Grudziądz
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-3%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 20. Semeniv D. 16. Szalecki D. 30. Wierzba D. 17. Zielinski W.	30. Gorski K. (G) 10. Cichon K. 44. Frelek D. (C) 14. Gutowski K. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 29. Rychert K. 26. Sewerzynski O. 6. Sikorski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
15. Fyk O. 26. Jasinski M. 19. Kozera D. 29. Pirog J. 7. Skwierczynski K. 25. Sznajder F. 14. Tyaglo O. 1. Valion A. (G) 10. Yatsenko O.	33. Budchan E. (G) 20. Chmarek M. 5. Goralski W. 7. Kaczmarek T. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 11. Krocz S. 2. Maruszak I. 17. Wojcik F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Wierzba D. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Zbiciak B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Elbląg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Olimpia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:33 (average 1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
05.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWLL
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
06.04.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Hutnik	4:3 ✺
28.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 ✺
21.03.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - ŁKS Łódź II	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
14.09.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:2
Polish Division 2
06.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0
05.08.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:0
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:3
12.02.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
17.07.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:0

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