Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.38	7.42
	1.42	4.14	6.99	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.43	4.1	6.52	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	4.09 ↓ (4.67)	6.6 ↓ (8.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
63.8%

Draw
22.4%

Skra Częstochowa
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.9%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

10.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Forenc K. (G) 24. Bednarski M. 4. Biernat M. 18. Czajkowski P. 3. Dziwniel D. 90. Klisiewicz L. 8. Mrsic M. 28. Osyra K. 7. Ronnberg L. 55. Willman M. 30. Zajac R.	76. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 4. Kucharczyk O. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 77. Lorenc M. 20. Magnuszewski K. 7. Nocon P. 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. 98. Stangret M. 11. Winciersz M. 8. Wrobel M.
Substitutes
. Bieronski B. 20. Goluch S. 6. Kizyma M. 27. Kolenc J. 17. Majsterek J. . Manikowski M. (G) . Martosz B. 23. Misztal M. 11. Ziolkowski M.	10. Kaczmarek M. . Kaczorowski K. . Kramarz F. (G) . Lesniak Paduch N. 16. Niedbala J. 9. Noworyta K. 26. Sobczak K. 90. Stec J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ronnberg L. ⚽,
30', Zajac R. 🟨,
37', Magnuszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Klisiewicz L. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Sadowski H. (Own goal),
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Skra Częstochowa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Podbeskidzie is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
18.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:3 ✺
10.08.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWLL
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
16.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
26.07.24	KKS Kalisz - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
05.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
10.08.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	0:1
07.03.22	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
23.08.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	1:0

Upcoming Matches