Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Skra Częstochowa		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.7
	4.13	3.9	1.75
	3.53	3.47	1.94	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.7
	4.04	3.7	1.73	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.64)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
22.9%

Draw
25.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 10. Kaczmarek M. 4. Kucharczyk O. 23. Lawrynowicz I. 77. Lorenc M. 7. Nocon P. (C) 5. Owczarek P. 25. Sadowski H. 98. Stangret M. 90. Stec J. 11. Winciersz M.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.
Substitutes
. Kramarz F. (G) . Lesniak Paduch N. 20. Magnuszewski K. 16. Niedbala J. 9. Noworyta K. 26. Sobczak K. 8. Wrobel M.	19. Bahonko E. . Cierpial J. . Gulczynski G. 12. Kalinowski D. (G) 14. Karolak P. . Korczakowski I. 25. Los S. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Jaron D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Odolak K. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

Skra Częstochowa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Skra Częstochowa have a series of guest games.

Recently Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki have a series of home games.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
10.08.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Skra Częstochowa - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
26.07.24	KKS Kalisz - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Skra Częstochowa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLLL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
10.08.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Swit Skolwin	4:1 ✺
02.08.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWL

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