Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.6
	2.15	3.85	2.65
	2.35	3.82	2.5
	2.35	3.7	2.48
	2.15	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.56)	3.79 ↑ (3.56)	2.58 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
40.9%

Draw
23.9%

Chełmianka Chełm
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.2%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Marques K. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.10.24	Wisła II Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:0 ✺
12.10.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Korona Kielce 2	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.10.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4 ✺
12.10.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Chełmianka Chełm - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.03.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2
27.08.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0
03.06.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1
05.11.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3
27.04.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1
18.09.21	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:5
02.06.21	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	4:1

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