Match Info

Division 2 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.36	3.24	2.85
				Watch
	2.28	3.35	2.76
	2.17	3.24	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.17)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
40.1%

Draw
27.8%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-1%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (C) 99. Giel P. 87. Kurzeja B. 23. Marcinho 19. Michota M. 3. Miroshnyk R. 26. Nowak A. 11. Purcha B. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L.	1. Matysek A. (G) 9. Adamski R. 11. Antkiewicz F. 3. Bondarenko M. 10. Czekala M. 8. Drozdzik O. 7. Kruszelnicki P. (C) 4. Lepczynski K. 5. Moczynski B. 6. Wandachowicz B. 2. Zynek B.
Substitutes
25. Burkiewicz A. 10. Duda P. 18. Kozarzewski A. 5. Lukco L. 9. Niedzialkowski M. 12. Solobchuk K. (G) 17. Ustupski W. 8. Vaclavik R. 27. Zebala M.	. Gregorski D. . Kaczmarek K. . Koczy K. . Laskowski K. . Lipp M. . Malczuk N. . Marek . Rachubinski M. . Slobodzian D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Miroshnyk R. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Czekala M. ⚽,
35', Moczynski B. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Moczynski B. ↓, Koczy K. ↑,
46', Giel P. ↓, Niedzialkowski M. ↑,
54', Nowak A. ↓, Vaclavik R. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Zynek B. ⚽,
61', Antkiewicz F. ↓, Laskowski K. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽,
72', Vaclavik R. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Michota M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Zagłębie 2 is Relegated to

Podhale is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zagłębie 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zagłębie 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Podhale will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
11.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Legia II	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Lewart Lubartów	4:0 ✺
30.05.25	Unia Tarnów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
07.06.25	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3 ✺
30.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Swit Skolwin	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

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