Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.22	3.45	2.72
	2.42	3.29	2.58
	2.3	3.69	2.66	Watch
	2.57	3.65	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.01)	3.52 ↓ (3.73)	2.54 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
38.1%

Draw
26%

Wiślanie Skawina
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podlasie Biała Podlaska's performance.

Wiślanie Skawina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wiślanie Skawina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podlasie Biała Podlaska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wiślanie Skawina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Radwanek B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 0 - 2, Gut J. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).

Biała Podlaska is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wiślanie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wiślanie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Biała Podlaska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLT
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
22.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Cracovia 2	6:2 ✺
15.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
08.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0

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