Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.25	2.30
	2.62	3.25	2.32
	2.56	3.17	2.39
	2.63	3.39	2.39
	2.5	3.1	2.3
	2.56	3.22	2.38	Watch
	2.54	3.41	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
34.6%

Draw
27.3%

Wiślanie Skawina
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Wiślanie Skawina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Dynarek D. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Krawczyk S. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 6th).

Recent results have been tough for Biała Podlaska (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Wiślanie has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Biała Podlaska may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Biała Podlaska has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Biała Podlaska against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Wislanie Skawina	15	7	3	5	23:16	7	24
16	Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11:20	-9	13

Last Results with these Odds

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Wiślanie Skawina - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4:0 ✺
01.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wieczysta II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.10.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Wieczysta II - Wiślanie Skawina	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Wiślanie Skawina - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.03.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2
04.04.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0

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