Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Wiślanie Skawina		JKS Jarosław

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.00
	1.89	3.45	3.30
	2.02	3.80	2.89
	1.83	3.66	3.66
	2.00	3.65	2.85
	1.91	3.92	3.30	Watch
	2.21	3.41	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.21)	3.61 ↑ (3.41)	3.09 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiślanie Skawina
45.7%

Draw
25%

JKS Jarosław
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiślanie Skawina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wiślanie Skawina's performance.

JKS Jarosław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Wiślanie Skawina - JKS Jarosław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gadek D. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Durda K. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Durda K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, Janiczak G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Wiślanie has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JKS Jarosław is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

JKS Jarosław may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, JKS Jarosław has had a series of home games.

Wiślanie might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wislanie Skawina	11	5	2	4	15:11	4	17
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Wiślanie Skawina	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTW
- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Wieczysta II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL

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