Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.88
	3.3	3.56	1.94	Watch
	4	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
25.9%

Draw
24.6%

Avia Świdnik
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.1%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 1.

Biała Podlaska is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Avia Świdnik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Biała Podlaska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Biała Podlaska has had a series of home games.

Avia Świdnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Biała Podlaska won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWW
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
31.08.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.04.25	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0
21.09.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	2:2
08.06.24	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1
18.11.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	0:1
01.04.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:1
27.08.22	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1
19.03.22	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	2:1

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